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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 72.2% 27.8% -
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 31 7-14 0-0 2-3 14 5 3 0 3 16 21 -
E. Flato 27 2-7 2-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 5 8 -1 -
N. Holmes 23 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 12 10 -
C. Holmes 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 3 -1 -
P. Braswell 18 2-6 0-3 4-4 2 1 5 1 1 8 10 -
A. Zampier 16 3-4 1-1 5-6 3 1 0 0 2 12 10 -
R. Morin 15 2-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 0 1 2 8 6 -
M. Kyle 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
J. Gibson 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Sands 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Fiddler 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
P. Nelson 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Mantilla 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Andrews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 32 8-12 3-4 0-0 5 3 4 0 4 19 15 -
D. McGeary 30 2-11 1-8 0-0 0 3 3 0 1 5 -1 -
E. Harris 29 1-4 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 1 2 4 6 -
A. Pusar 27 6-10 1-3 1-1 3 2 2 0 1 14 10 -
D. Housman 27 5-10 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 12 3 -
B. Unger 24 1-2 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 4 6 6 -
D. Miller 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Dinc 9 0-1 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3 -
A. Demuyakor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
K. Fitzgerald 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Blankenau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Okereke 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Carey 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter