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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 84.5% 15.5% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -13 (52-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Landry 37 5-9 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 12 8 -
J. Krabbenhoft 35 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 4 1 0 2 9 11 -
J. Bohannon 34 4-11 1-6 6-6 5 3 0 0 1 15 11 -
M. Flowers 32 1-2 1-1 4-8 0 3 4 0 5 7 7 -
B. Butch 29 8-12 0-3 4-6 14 0 0 0 1 20 21 -
T. Hughes 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
T. Jarmusz 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
G. Stiemsma 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 38 4-7 2-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
M. Thompson 37 5-13 2-4 1-3 2 5 1 0 5 13 3 -
K. Coble 35 7-15 1-4 2-2 3 1 3 0 2 17 7 -
J. Nash 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
I. Peljusic 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 0 0 7 -
N. Baran 15 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 7 3 -
J. Okrzesik 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Capocci 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
S. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Melchior 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
P. Houlihan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter