Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -19 (52-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Toppert | 30 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Gary | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Martinez | 27 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Prentice | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Faris | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Wills | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J.R. Giddens | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Pegues | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Walker | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. McFarland | 26 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Woodard | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | - |
| J. Simmons | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Nigon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Creason | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Cohen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Clayman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Van Tassel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McGinley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter