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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% - โœ—
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 โœ“ (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brown 31 6-12 4-8 3-5 1 1 1 0 1 19 9 -
B. Lopez 30 4-13 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 2 0 11 12 -
M. Johnson 26 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 3 4 -
R. Lopez 24 6-11 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 1 1 16 10 -
L. Hill 21 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Goods 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Shiller 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
T. Finger 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
L. Fields 10 0-2 0-0 5-6 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
F. Washington 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
J. Owens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Prowitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 37 4-10 1-2 5-8 4 0 0 0 3 14 5 -
O.J. Mayo 35 9-19 2-6 5-6 8 4 2 0 2 25 18 -
T. Gibson 34 9-13 0-0 2-4 11 1 0 5 1 20 23 -
D. Jefferson 24 4-7 2-3 1-3 6 1 2 1 1 11 13 -
D. Hackett 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 2 2 -
K. Wilkinson 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 2 4 8 -
A. Johnson 21 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 1 2 -
M. Simmons 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Wetherell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Cromwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter