Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| V. Oliver | 37 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 | - |
| D. Carter | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Calegari | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Portz | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Toth | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diggs | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Barlow | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Soto | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Scott | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 27 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| S. Gates | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B.J. Visman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Creppy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter