Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +30 (64-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Loveless | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Cultra | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Kreke | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Beck | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Findlay | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Duffy | 0 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| J. Morris | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| L. Dixon | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Q. Davis | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
* = starter