Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson | 37 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Q. Prowell | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Reed | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Barrett | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Heramb | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beverley | 35 | 9-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 25 | - |
| S. Weems | 30 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| G. Ervin | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Townes | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| S. Welsh | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Thomas | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Hill | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| V. Hunter | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Washington | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Britt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Rakestraw | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter