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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% -
Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% -
Log Adjusted 9.2% 90.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 37 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 2 4 0 1 12 13 -
Q. Prowell 35 3-8 1-4 2-5 8 2 1 0 0 9 12 -
F. Tolbert 32 7-12 1-2 2-4 4 5 0 0 5 17 9 -
D. Reed 30 3-9 1-6 2-3 3 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
R. Barrett 29 5-9 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 13 8 -
L. Hargrove 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Heramb 13 2-4 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 35 9-11 6-6 3-4 8 1 4 0 4 27 25 -
S. Weems 30 3-12 1-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 7 1 -
G. Ervin 26 1-6 0-2 0-2 1 7 1 0 4 2 1 -
D. Townes 24 6-7 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 1 0 12 20 -
S. Welsh 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 8 -
C. Thomas 20 4-8 0-0 2-6 2 2 0 0 0 10 6 -
S. Hill 18 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 3 0 4 10 -
V. Hunter 14 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
M. Washington 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Britt 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Rakestraw 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter