Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -12 (56-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayes | 0 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Guffey | 0 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| A. Brown | 0 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Petty | 0 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Lee | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okoli | 0 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| E. London | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Maxwell | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Munday | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Towns | 0 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
* = starter