Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +2 (50-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ito | 40 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Watson | 40 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 37 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Raivio | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Knutson | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Stohl | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Sikma | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Holmes | 45 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 44 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 42 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelley | 32 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Reed | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Thompson | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Carr | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter