Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lamberth | 32 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Laurie | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Laurie | 25 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Cooks | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Richards | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Manswell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| W. Knapp | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| E. Holloway | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Slack | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Sampay | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Dyer | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Odzic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Rubin | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Vandello | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter