Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -2 (48-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pinick | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 | - |
| E. Flato | 28 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| N. Holmes | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Holmes | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| R. Morin | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Zampier | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Fiddler | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Gibson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Braswell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Nelson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Sands | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 38 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Mosley | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Ball | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Ware | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Dixon | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Weeden | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Sanders | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Pride | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter