Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -8 (51-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 36 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| G. Suton | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| K. Lucas | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Naymick | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Walton | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Summers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. McCamey | 33 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Meacham | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Brock | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Alexander | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Davis | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Randle | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter