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2008-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (15.2 off)
Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +22 (85-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Banks 34 4-10 3-7 6-7 2 1 0 0 2 17 8 -
R. Wedel 32 5-13 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 14 2 -
Y. Chia-Kur 32 3-9 0-5 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 8 0 -
K. Gant 29 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
S. Morgan 23 1-4 0-0 2-4 5 1 2 0 4 4 4 -
P.J. Keaton 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Koggu 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
L. Handy 10 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Lance 7 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
A. Farmer 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
L. Nutt 2 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. White 31 4-8 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
C. Dennis 30 2-8 0-2 5-8 2 2 2 0 2 9 5 -
B. Bell 27 5-6 1-2 1-3 2 6 1 0 1 12 14 -
K. Wooden 24 6-11 0-0 2-2 9 0 4 0 0 14 16 -
A. McCoy 21 8-8 5-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 21 16 -
H. Stewart 18 1-2 0-0 7-8 9 1 0 2 2 9 17 -
Q. Williams 16 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Howerton 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Thompson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Hogans 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
J. Montague Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Horne 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter