Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -19 (69-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 40 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 31 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Newbold | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Clark | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Wesley | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Williams | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Formisano | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Larry | 39 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Nelson | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Noonan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Greene | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Garner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter