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2008-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lopez 43 8-22 0-0 2-4 13 5 0 1 4 18 11 -
A. Goods 42 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 9 -2 -
M. Johnson 40 4-7 1-2 0-0 7 5 0 0 1 9 13 -
L. Hill 26 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 -2 -
T. Finger 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
R. Lopez 21 6-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 1 14 11 -
F. Washington 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Fields 11 1-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Shiller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 43 9-16 3-4 3-4 4 4 2 0 2 24 16 -
R. Westbrook 43 7-12 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 0 0 19 11 -
J. Shipp 43 1-9 1-6 4-7 3 1 0 0 3 7 -1 -
L. Mbah a Moute 40 5-9 0-0 0-1 11 1 1 1 1 10 14 -
K. Love 39 6-13 1-3 4-4 10 5 0 2 3 17 18 -
A. Aboya 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Mata-Real 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter