Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose | 36 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. Anderson | 33 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts | 31 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| W. Kemp | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Taggart | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Mack | 16 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Dozier | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Allen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Henderson-Niles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Roberts | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Killen | 37 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Fall | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Harp | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Malone | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P. Ritter | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Walker | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| P. Dia | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter