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2008-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% -
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 71.2% 28.8% -
Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Log Adjusted 89.4% 10.6% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -16 (70-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Paulus 33 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 14 9 -
K. Singler 32 8-21 2-9 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 18 3 -
J. Scheyer 29 3-6 1-3 3-3 2 4 1 0 1 10 10 -
D. Nelson 29 6-10 2-3 2-5 4 4 1 0 2 16 13 -
G. Henderson 28 8-13 1-2 2-2 7 4 1 0 2 19 16 -
L. Thomas 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
B. Zoubek 13 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
N. Smith 11 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. McClure 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. King 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 35 6-16 1-7 5-6 1 7 0 0 5 18 5 -
C. Baker 31 7-15 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 15 0 -
M. Diane 23 4-5 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 12 10 -
M. Scott 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 3 1 2 6 -
J. Tucker 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 5 11 -
L. Mikalauskas 19 4-7 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
J. Jones 17 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Joseph 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Pettinella 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
S. Tat 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter