Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 37 | 6-21 | 2-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -2 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 37 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Noel | 37 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Davis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Billings | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Battle | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Yotio | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 38 | 4-15 | 2-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Toney | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Smith | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Malone | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Dowell | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| K. Lewis | 19 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Cousin | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter