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2008-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kirk 36 2-6 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Sloan 34 5-11 0-2 7-7 8 2 0 0 1 17 15 -
D. Jordan 34 2-4 0-0 0-2 10 2 0 6 2 4 16 -
J. Carter 27 6-9 4-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 17 14 -
B. Davis 22 2-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
B. Muhlbach 16 3-6 1-1 5-6 5 0 1 0 0 12 12 -
J. Jones 15 4-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 11 7 -
D. Roland 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Elonu 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 31 3-10 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 7 3 -
H. Dugat 31 2-10 0-2 4-5 6 3 2 1 0 8 10 -
K. Rogers 29 3-8 0-0 0-3 5 1 0 0 3 6 1 -
C. Jerrells 28 4-14 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 -1 -
M. Diene 26 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 6 1 9 14 -
A. Bruce 16 2-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
L. Dunn 14 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Simpson 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 3 1 4 9 -
M. Shepherd 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Lomers 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Hurd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter