Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hansbrough | 44 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| B. Stewart | 43 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Gordon | 40 | 9-19 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 39 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| J. Varnado | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| E. Bailey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| R. Benock | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Foster | 43 | 16-25 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 23 | - |
| A. Gordon | 43 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Neltner | 37 | 0-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Beal | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Bell | 12 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Walker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. McClellan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Drake | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Graham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter