Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jemison | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Riley | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Gee | 28 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 26 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Hillman | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Pickett | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Randolph | 39 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 22 | - |
| M. Thornton | 38 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| G. Temple | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27 | - |
| T. Martin | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Spencer | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Farrer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter