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2008-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 35 6-11 4-8 5-6 1 0 0 0 0 21 11 -
T. Smith 32 6-14 0-0 1-1 8 3 0 1 2 13 9 -
J. Smith 31 9-13 4-7 1-4 1 0 1 0 0 23 12 -
W. Chism 28 5-10 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 12 5 -
R. Smith 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
J. Howell 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
J.P. Prince 15 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
D. Crews 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
B. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Tabb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 35 7-15 2-6 8-9 3 9 0 0 4 24 17 -
D. Werner 32 5-7 4-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 16 15 -
J. Lucas 32 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
W. Hodge 32 6-9 3-4 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 16 11 -
M. Speights 31 8-8 0-0 5-7 7 1 0 3 0 21 24 -
C. Parsons 19 1-4 0-3 2-5 3 3 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Tyus 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
J. Mitchell 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter