Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -4 (80-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cutley | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| F. Robinson | 32 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J. Akognon | 26 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Morgan | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Reed | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Lassiter | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Green | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Crenshaw | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Alexander | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Grasmick | 40 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Bragg | 32 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Hall | 28 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| A. Johnson | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Blakley | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Johns | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Lee | 16 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| R. Robinson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter