Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +14 (59-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 40 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Bailey | 33 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Darger | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| W. Adams | 28 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Shaw | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 5 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Cage | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 40 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| R. Martinez | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Gary | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Toppert | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Faris | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Wills | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Smith | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Prentice | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Pegues | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter