Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rich | 37 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| R. Mims | 36 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| T. Douglas | 31 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| U. Echefu | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Reid | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Vaughn | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Zitani | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. O'Donnell | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Hoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Lawson | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| W. Graves | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Wood | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter