๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2008-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lucas 39 5-10 1-2 10-16 5 0 1 1 1 21 17 -
S. Speech 30 3-8 0-1 4-5 2 3 4 0 3 10 8 -
D. Harmason 29 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
M. Clark 29 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
L. Cox 29 5-11 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 1 5 14 7 -
E. Petty 24 3-5 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 1 2 9 10 -
M. Davis 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Watson 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Prestley 38 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 2 5 0 -1 -
A. Ratliff 37 8-19 3-8 5-8 5 6 1 0 4 24 13 -
D. Diaz 29 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
A. Williams 25 6-9 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 3 14 8 -
J. Riley 23 2-7 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 2 3 8 4 -
J. Breaux 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 7 8 -
J. Yates 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Akpele 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Lemons 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter