Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -43.1 | ✗ (68.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +25 (88-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hornbuckle | 36 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelley | 34 | 10-20 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| M. Thomas | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Holmes | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Thompson | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Reed | 20 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| T. Tucker | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Carr | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Vojinovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 38 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| V. Polakovic | 36 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| M. Strong | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| D. Cavic | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| M. Quezada | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Hadley | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| H. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Zamorano | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Perry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter