Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +34 (88-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Henke | 35 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Bryant | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Dowdell | 26 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Gunderson | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Latimer | 21 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Lamar | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Angley | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Santos | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pargo | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Bouldin | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Pendergraft | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Downs | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Gray | 20 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Heytvelt | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Daye | 13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Kuso | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Brown | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Sacre | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Foster | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Sorenson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter