Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -7 (80-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 28 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Farris | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Sanders | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| A. Jones | 31 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| S. Gruda | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Holt | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 19 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 19 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Carey | 17 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Anderson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Raymond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gardin | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter