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2008-06-29

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 35 3-7 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
Alana Beard * 32 6-17 2-5 2-2 4 3 2 0 6 16 2 -
Crystal Langhorne * 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Monique Currie * 22 1-8 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Nikki Blue * 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Coco Miller 19 1-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
Nakia Sanford 15 1-2 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
Crystal Smith 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Laurie Koehn 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Bernice Mosby 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kendra Wecker 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 33 6-10 2-5 0-0 5 7 1 0 3 14 14 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 32 5-10 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 2 0 11 12 -
Lauren Jackson * 31 4-11 1-2 4-4 5 0 2 2 1 13 10 -
Swin Cash * 25 3-7 0-0 4-6 1 1 1 1 2 10 5 -
Yolanda Griffith * 24 2-4 0-0 5-8 6 0 2 1 3 9 11 -
Tanisha Wright 18 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Ashley Robinson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Camille Smith 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
Katie Gearlds 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Kelly Santos 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter