Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -10 (79-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 32 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| L. Willingham | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| B. Farris | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Quigley | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Melvin | 36 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Perkins | 29 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Joens | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Canty | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Queenan | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Q. Chaney | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Fluker | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter