Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 36 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Smith | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Ford | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| S. Sam | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| P. Pierson | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| O. Sanni | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Givens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Holt | 26 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 25 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2 | - |
| B. Turner | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Gruda | 14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Anderson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Gardin | 13 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Raymond | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Carey | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter