Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 11-15 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 26 | - |
| T. Smith | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 26 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Miller | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Farris | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 33 | 12-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 25 | - |
| M. Currie | 29 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| A. Beard | 27 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Blue | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Sanford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Miller | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Smith | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Mosby | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Koehn | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Wecker | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter