Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 30 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| R. Brunson | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Lawson | 21 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Kelly | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Newton | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Franklin | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Harper | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 7-21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 3 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 34 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 29 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Catchings | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Feaster | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Ngoyisa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Bond | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Baker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter