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2008-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.2% 90.8% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 40 4-5 1-1 3-3 5 1 3 1 3 12 14 -
D. Jasper 40 3-8 2-3 1-3 8 8 1 0 5 9 13 -
R. Bradley 40 6-14 2-6 3-5 2 4 0 0 4 17 5 -
P. Stevenson 37 4-8 0-0 5-6 14 1 0 2 1 13 21 -
J. Crawford 24 4-10 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
M. Porter 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Coury 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Carter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 34 6-14 0-1 3-3 5 2 1 2 0 15 11 -
R. Smith 32 3-8 0-1 0-1 5 6 1 0 1 6 9 -
J. Smith 32 2-8 1-4 4-6 5 0 2 0 1 9 7 -
W. Chism 27 4-6 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 1 3 9 10 -
C. Lofton 25 3-5 1-2 7-8 1 1 0 1 3 14 9 -
J.P. Prince 16 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 3 4 -
D. Crews 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Tabb 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Williams 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Howell 5 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter