Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -21 (76-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tasha Humphrey * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Olayinka Sanni | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chrissy Givens | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 36 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Katie Mattera * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 22 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Camille Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chioma Nnamaka | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter