Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (33.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +33 (105-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 26 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 24 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Yuko Oga | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 22 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 25 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 14 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter