Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +33 (105-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Willingham | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 26 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 21 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Miller | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| B. Farris | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Quigley | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Y. Oga | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jackson-Jones | 24 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 22 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. McCarville | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Christon | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Moore | 18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Willis | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Battle | 14 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| E. Larkins | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Thorn | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter