Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✗ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (82-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Jackson | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Austin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter