Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +29 (103-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bassett | 39 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D.J. White | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Gordon | 36 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Ellis | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Crawford | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Stemler | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Thomas | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Taber | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McGee | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 30 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 29 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Lucas | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Morgan | 26 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| T. Walton | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| D. Naymick | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 15 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Summers | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| I. Ibok | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Herzog | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter