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2008-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +29 (103-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bassett 39 5-12 3-6 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 13 5 -
D.J. White 36 5-13 0-0 4-10 12 1 1 0 2 14 13 -
E. Gordon 36 7-14 1-5 7-9 3 2 2 0 2 22 13 -
J. Ellis 28 1-4 1-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 5 7 -
J. Crawford 27 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 12 6 -
L. Stemler 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 4 -
D. Thomas 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
K. Taber 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. McGee 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Suton 30 6-7 1-1 4-5 9 3 4 1 1 17 26 -
D. Neitzel 29 6-13 5-11 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 17 9 -
K. Lucas 29 5-9 1-2 3-4 0 7 3 0 0 14 15 -
R. Morgan 26 7-9 2-2 4-6 6 0 3 0 2 20 18 -
T. Walton 24 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 11 0 0 0 6 18 -
D. Naymick 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
C. Allen 15 3-8 2-5 3-3 1 2 0 1 0 11 7 -
M. Gray 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Summers 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
I. Ibok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
I. Dahlman 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Kebler 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Herzog 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter