Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greene | 40 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Proctor | 37 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Barbosa | 36 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 32 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hodges | 21 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Fry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | 40 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Zeglinski | 37 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| W. McLendon | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. von Rosenberg | 27 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Sabia | 27 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Minor | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Baker | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Glowiak | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter