Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 42 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 30 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 41 | 10-24 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tye'sha Fluker * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chasity Melvin | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Cathy Joens | 26 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quianna Chaney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 39 | 13-23 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 38 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 10-11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 32 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yuko Oga | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter