Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Perkins | 41 | 10-24 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | - |
| C. Dupree | 40 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 30 | - |
| D. Canty | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Melvin | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Joens | 27 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Herrington | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Fluker | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Q. Chaney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 39 | 13-23 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 10-11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 32 | - |
| L. Willingham | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Farris | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Sanders | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Oga | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter