Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +21 (102-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carey | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 25 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Swanier | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Gruda | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Holt | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Anderson | 14 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Gardin | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Raymond | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 11-15 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 24 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Farris | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter