Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (79-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Smith | 37 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Ford | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 26 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 26 | 10-15 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| S. Sam | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| O. Sanni | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 37 | 5-24 | 3-9 | 15-17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 1-13 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Farris | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Willingham | 24 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 21 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Sanders | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Crockett | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter