Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✗ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.