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2008-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 76.1% 23.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley 40 1-7 1-3 1-2 5 2 4 1 5 4 4 -
B. Dowdell 39 3-10 0-0 9-13 4 2 1 0 1 15 11 -
M. Henke 37 6-9 4-6 5-8 3 1 1 0 1 21 16 -
C. Johnson 27 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Bryant 19 1-6 0-0 7-8 6 0 0 3 4 9 8 -
S. Lamar 16 3-7 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
J. Gunderson 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Latimer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Mbanugo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 35 1-7 0-3 3-3 3 4 0 0 2 5 3 -
J. Stohl 33 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 8 -
R. Smeulders 26 5-10 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 2 1 12 12 -
S. Watson 23 1-5 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
L. Sikma 20 3-5 1-2 2-2 10 5 1 1 2 9 19 -
K. Knutson 19 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 3 7 7 -
E. Niedermeyer 19 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
N. Raivio 14 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Hannibal 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 4 2 -
W. Thompson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter