Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +3 (43-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.