Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Meacham | 38 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. McCamey | 33 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Frazier | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Brock | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Davis | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Alexander | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 39 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Tate | 39 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Freeman | 39 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 13-15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Kelly | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Gorney | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Looby | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Peterson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter