Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 13-20 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 23 | - |
| B. Farris | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 16 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson | 35 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| S. Bird | 33 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 30 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 28 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Wright | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Beck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter